The 10 billion test
Beginning 1992 are about 5.2 billion humans on earth. However, the growth of the population has not ended now. Only the industrial countries have a stable number of inhabitants.
The development countries are in a phase of change where number of children and infant mortality are in a very unbalanced relation. Maybe it's possible to bring the population growth at 6 billion under control. But this would be very optimistic. Let's take as a test criteria a round number like 10 billion.
Test criteria? Yes, it's not about an exact prognosis about the population on earth. It's about a base to estimate, is a technology useable.
"Is this technology for 10 billion prople useable?"
This is a test. Some examples. A car with ICE internal combustion engine for one from two humans. This gives at the 10 billion test 5 billion cars with gasoline or Diesel. I think, it's not necessary to make long calculations to say this technology can not pass the 10 billion test.
Would we be only 5 million on earth, there would be no reason against cars with ICE. But we are now more than 1000 times more.
|Founding of PEGE|